Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.000092 0.000097 0.000102 0.000107 0.000113 0.000120 0.000127
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.000086 0.000093 0.000100 0.000109 0.000119 0.000130 0.000144
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000082 0.000090 0.000099 0.000111 0.000124 0.000140 0.000161
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000077 0.000086 0.000096 0.000109 0.000125 0.000145 0.000171
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000074 0.000084 0.000096 0.000111 0.000131 0.000155 0.000190
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000071 0.000081 0.000094 0.000110 0.000131 0.000160 0.000201
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000068 0.000078 0.000091 0.000108 0.000132 0.000163 0.000211
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000066 0.000077 0.000090 0.000109 0.000134 0.000170 0.000226
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000065 0.000076 0.000090 0.000110 0.000139 0.000179 0.000247
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000062 0.000073 0.000088 0.000108 0.000137 0.000180 0.000254
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000059 0.000070 0.000084 0.000105 0.000134 0.000178 0.000255
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000057 0.000068 0.000082 0.000102 0.000132 0.000177 0.000259
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000054 0.000064 0.000078 0.000098 0.000128 0.000173 0.000257
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000064 0.000078 0.000100 0.000132 0.000183 0.000283
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000064 0.000079 0.000101 0.000136 0.000194 0.000312
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000062 0.000077 0.000100 0.000136 0.000197 0.000326
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000062 0.000077 0.000102 0.000141 0.000210 0.000364
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000049 0.000060 0.000076 0.000101 0.000141 0.000213 0.000382
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000059 0.000075 0.000099 0.000140 0.000215 0.000398
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000058 0.000074 0.000099 0.000143 0.000223 0.000430
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000058 0.000074 0.000101 0.000147 0.000236 0.000479
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000045 0.000056 0.000073 0.000099 0.000145 0.000236 0.000491
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000043 0.000054 0.000070 0.000096 0.000141 0.000231 0.000486